RISK ASSESMENT

It was with good intent that the Washington government did set out a strategy to curb chemicals and explosives related activities of terror targeting the United States (United States General Accounting Office, 2000). However, the extent to which this can be a success is in question especially when the breeding grounds for such planned attacks are in sovereign States away from Washington. Indeed, the United States General Accounting Office (2000) agrees that such plans can only succeed with cooperation from other governments. Cooperation in this case relates to governments. However, in countries such as Somalia, Afghanistan and Pakistan with very weak governments, to make any dependable promise is not a reality.
   
The Washington government has adopted a strategy of doing the job by self. They adopted an arrests and elimination strategy. This has been done in Somalia and Afghanistan where terrorist leaders have been arrested or eliminated. But such a strategy against a much networked terrorist organization is proving to be a failing strategy. It has failed to eliminate the Taliban and it has failed to eliminate the Alshabab.
                                   
TALIBAN AND ALSHABAB
Founded on the same principles of enforcing the Islamic law, both the Taliban and Alshabab have emerged just as Hugo Chavez did (Post, 2007) which is, as defenders of their masses. But fueled with the constant collisions with the Washington government terror strategy, they have risen to brand themselves defenders of their civilians against the US, and whereas the United States is still old fashioned about its security both at home and abroad, terrorists have evolved  to form stronger more united forces (Tucker, 2008).This  is why the US was still thinking of the strategies such as stated  by the United States General Accounting Office(2000), when plans for the  2009 Christmas eve ordeal were in motion .                                
     
The two terrorist networks have also developed a network of mutual support from abroad and from each other. The Taliban and the Alshabab are inseparable. Just like Hugo Chavez would provide financial support to the Taliban (Post, 2007), the Taliban and the Alshabab now sends each other reinforcements. Surrounded by volatile nations like Sudan (for Alshabab), the two organizations are hard to extinguish.
     
Hence, though America may feel safe at home, it is now a big challenge to protect citizens abroad especially in Africa and the Middle East.  Political instabilities in countries such as Somalia and Afghanistan have assured terrorists a supply of arms. And as America continues to grapple about the 2001, September, 11 attacks and the necessary steps to take to avoid such attacks at home (Tucker, 2008), dangerous enemies have changed their strategy. They will attack closer to themselves
       
The Taliban poses a risk because its support is now multinational having boiled over from Afghanistan to Pakistan. Besides being extremists, they have at their disposal dangerous and advanced weapons. The Taliban has combated the US before and were not eliminated. The Alshabab however, posses the greatest risk. If the 1998 bombings of the US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania are anything to go by, then the Washington government has much to worry on the Alshabab. American citizens are all over Africa as tourists, humanitarians and on job missions. They need to be protected.
                               
Conclusion
In conclusion then, as David Tucker (Tucker, 2007) says, America has not succeeded in its defense against terrorists because of wrong tactics. It is time for change.

0 comments:

Post a Comment